Daily CMA tracker

14884 Penitencia Creek Rd

San Jose, CA 95132

Last updated May 25, 2026 Daily refresh target: 7:00 AM PT
Valuation snapshot

Base case stays close to the February sale.

The working CMA range uses the subject sale, Zillow comparable set, recent 95132 sales, and a conservative adjustment for new-build or heavily remodeled premiums.

Working CMA range $1.60M - $1.74M

Current opinion band for monitoring. This is narrower than the public AVM range because it weights the subject's actual February closing price and latest nearby sold signal.

Zillow Zestimate $1,652,500

Estimated market value: $1,520,000 - $1,801,000.

Subject sale $1,650,000

Sold on Feb. 11, 2026 at $943 per square foot.

Property profile 3 bd / 2 ba

1,750 square feet, 1957 build, 9,870 square foot lot.

Interactive view

A faster way to read the comp set.

The comp set is organized by sale price, price per square foot, and directional impact so the strongest valuation signals are easier to compare.

Low $1.60M Mid $1.67M High $1.74M
Subject sale $1.65M Zestimate $1.65M
Comparable sales chart Interactive chart comparing sale price, price per square foot, and valuation impact for the CMA comp set.
Comparable sales

Core comps and watchlist sales.

Core comps are closest to the subject's size, bed/bath count, and market timing. Watchlist sales are useful signals but need heavier condition or location adjustments.

Property Sale Profile Signal
14884 Penitencia Creek Rd $1,650,000
Feb. 11, 2026
3 bd / 2 ba
1,750 sqft
Subject anchor; current AVM is nearly unchanged from sale.
14925 Joanne Ave $1,600,000
May 7, 2026
3 bd / 2.5 ba
1,854 sqft
Latest close in the set; supports lower-to-middle range.
3365 Suncrest Ave $1,745,500
About 3 months ago
3 bd / 2 ba
1,402 sqft
Smaller renovated home; high price per sqft sets upside pressure.
1134 Somerset Dr $1,966,000
About 3 months ago
4 bd / 2 ba
1,708 sqft
Extra bedroom and strong closing price; useful upper comp after adjustment.
1165 Adams Dr $1,650,000
Apr. 13, 2026
3 bd / 2 ba
1,376 sqft
Smaller 95132 sale at same price; confirms demand for updated ranch homes.
3197 Knights Bridge Rd $2,153,000
May 5, 2026
3 bd / 2 ba
1,884 sqft, 2026 build
New-build premium; keep as ceiling signal, not a direct comp.
Latest sale impact

New closings are a check on the upside.

The newest relevant sale does not justify a major upward revision by itself. It keeps the base case near the subject's actual sale price.

1

14925 Joanne Ave pulls the range down modestly.

At $1.60M for 1,854 sqft, the May 7 close is larger than the subject and sold below the current Zestimate. That argues against pushing the subject above the mid-$1.7M range without a stronger condition adjustment.

2

Suncrest and Somerset still protect the upper band.

Renovated and bedroom-adjusted comps near $1.75M to $1.97M keep the upside alive, but they should be discounted for size, bed count, renovation level, and exact location.

3

New-build sales stay outside the core estimate.

A 2026 rebuild such as 3197 Knights Bridge shows what buyers pay for newly rebuilt inventory, but treating it as a direct comp would overstate this 1957 ranch-style subject.

Sources and caveats

Source trail for the tracker.

Public real estate portals can lag MLS updates and may disagree on sale price, square footage, or renovation status. The daily refresh should re-check the source pages and revise the impact notes only when a new close materially changes the comp set.

Zillow model note

The Zestimate® home valuation model is Zillow's estimate of a home's market value. It incorporates public, MLS, and user-submitted data, including listing information, sale prices, tax assessor data, home facts, location, and market trends, into Zillow's proprietary formula. It is not an appraisal and should not be used as a substitute for one.

This tracker is an automated CMA-style monitoring page, not an appraisal, broker price opinion, lending decision, or offer strategy. Verify facts with MLS, county records, and a licensed local professional before making pricing decisions.